Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.028973 0.032956 0.037321 0.042463 0.048363 0.054928 0.062798
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.022262 0.027549 0.033877 0.042032 0.052297 0.064836 0.081386
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.019238 0.025195 0.032761 0.043126 0.057032 0.075154 0.100737
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016583 0.022726 0.030910 0.042690 0.059336 0.082208 0.116339
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.015179 0.021643 0.030625 0.044128 0.064108 0.092885 0.138023
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013220 0.019499 0.028542 0.042656 0.064387 0.096995 0.150412
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.011819 0.017978 0.027144 0.041950 0.065593 0.102438 0.165283
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010426 0.016304 0.025312 0.040321 0.065095 0.105051 0.175763
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009934 0.015968 0.025490 0.041855 0.069780 0.116407 0.202063
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009487 0.015648 0.025644 0.043331 0.074479 0.128230 0.230558
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009080 0.015346 0.025782 0.044769 0.079225 0.140587 0.261475
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008408 0.014526 0.024960 0.044427 0.080731 0.147271 0.282535
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007773 0.013730 0.024129 0.044030 0.082177 0.154155 0.305203
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007204 0.012998 0.023350 0.043652 0.083628 0.161233 0.329261
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006905 0.012729 0.023376 0.044787 0.088107 0.174670 0.368175
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006426 0.012078 0.022630 0.044334 0.089349 0.181710 0.394311
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006229 0.011947 0.022856 0.045830 0.094731 0.197884 0.442752
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005701 0.011123 0.021659 0.044299 0.093562 0.199969 0.459325
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005310 0.010537 0.020883 0.043563 0.094017 0.205610 0.484928
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.004856 0.009786 0.019711 0.041868 0.092168 0.205880 0.497564
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.004760 0.009765 0.020038 0.043465 0.097913 0.224170 0.557442
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.004660 0.009728 0.020326 0.045001 0.103682 0.243178 0.621894
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004560 0.009681 0.020588 0.046498 0.109516 0.263022 0.691456